Eine Followen-Üp

So, one day later.

Livni has put her foot down saying that Kadima will not support a far-right coalition and that Kadima is not afraid to be the opposition. They seem confident that

Leiberman has said he has decided who his party will recommend as Prime Minister (the way the appointment of Prime Minister works is Israel is the President asks all the MK's who they want to be Prime Minister and then he says "good idea"), but won't say who. Hint: It's Bibi.

IDF votes have not changed the seat apportionment, which is good because it means Livni will stay ahead of Bibi, but also bad because I had hoped it would give enough seats to Meretz-Yachad (the far-left party I'd probably vote for if I lived in Israel) to allow them to have a sitting member.

Rumours are floating around that Livni has been courting Lieberman on their shared secular agendas, saying that if Lieberman supports her she'll make a priority the recognition of civil marriage that is one of Lieberman's actually good ideas.

The leader of Shas is reportedly attempting to form an ultra-Orthodox bloc with 16 seats to counter Lieberman's 15 - I expected that the religious parties, Lieberman, and Bibi would come together on their mutual hatred of Palestine, but apparently I underestimated how much the religious parties dislike Lieberman too. This could be a good thing if it prevents a Netanyahu-led government from doing anything, especially considering if Livni ends up PM (unlikely) that she would not have been able to further anything anyway.

My base predictions: another election within 2 years.