Tuesday, February 3, 2009

and now for something completely different

this, this, this and this, as well as innumerable others, confirm that the new york times company is in serious trouble, and that it is not alone. there is serious speculation that the print edition of the times here and the one in la, the boston herald (a new york times subsidiary), the washington post and the chicago tribune will all be nixed by the end of the year. the times has been having a fire sale over the past month to keep itself from keeling over dead: it's gotten desperate enough to pawn its office, its share in the tribune and new york's long-time rivals, the red sox. since september of last year its stock has lost 66% of its value--from 15.25 to just 5.10 today--forcing it to slash dividend payments by 75%. it has $625 million in long-term debt, and a $400 million credit line that's been maxed and is demanding repayment. to top it off, they've seen advertising revenue plunge (down 17.6% in the fourth quarter) along with circulation.

at least they're still a full-fledged paper, unlike the washington post and the la times. that paper has recently announced that, in order to save money, it will no longer carry an la section. that's right: it is too expensive for the la times to report on la. only from the national circuit can it afford to squeeze out a few measly dimes. the post has decided to put the kaibosh on its independent book review, and will be collapsing it, along with several other sections, into a more compact version of its standard daily. that, by the way, leaves the united states with only one, independent book review weekly: the new york review of books. one book review in a nation of 300 million people.

and that brings me to my point, which concerns but one of the many dooms leveled on us by the recession: the metamorphosis of news media. now, it has been obvious for many years that printed dailies were, at some point on the ever-darkening horizon, to become extinct. the fact of the matter is that people don't read newspapers anymore. now, you may protest, citing your own readership and that of your friends, but admit, before you do, that your committment to a particular periodical is casual at best. it is therefore also useless to the paper in maintaining its financial solvency. newspapers are dependent on advertising, and advertising revenues are in turn dependent on circulation. the individual cost of a newspaper is insignificant: for arguments sake, the times is $1.25 on the stand, and circulates about a 1,000,000 issues a day. it should be quite clear that the price of the thing is a drop in the bucket.

circulation is instead important because advertisers pay for exposure. specifically, they pay x fee for y number of copies sold. as circulation contracts, so does the artery that pumps blood into the sagging corpse of the newspaper. what are the dailies to do? the culprit here is, naturally, the internet, leading most papers towards some sort of web-based solution. the times, for instance, is contemplating charging for access to its webpage. the first problem with that idea is that it risks alienating times readers. it's easy to skip to another newspaper's website, one that's free of charge, in order to get your daily digest of headlines--and i suspect that most readers never get past the biggest font on the page. qualitative expectations of journalism have clearly fallen, as statistical evidence pointing to a near total end to fact-checking, and a subsequent rise in spurious reporting, confirms. it's doubtful, then, that a paper's reputation (though i think that the times is a shit rag, it is, unfortunately, one of the least shitty rags in the american bucket) can command as much respect in terms of marketing as can the cost of accessing its information. and as the cost of access is competed downwards and advertising revenues go with it--web ads are already a paltry source of cash--we have news organizations once more forced into a crunch. alternatives, such as diversification, have led most of the holding companies into what i call "japanese syndrome": they do a thousand things and lose money on all of them. the future isn't immediately bright.

the implication for journalism is that there will be an even more serious reducation in quality as papers find some way to keep costs in line with returns. and what is the most expensive part of making the news? making it good. fox news, having avoided this problem, is looking peachy--profit was only down 50% for the final quarter--compared to, let's say, the venerable tribune company, which went before a delaware bankruptcy judge two days ago. the integrity and, to be frank, utility of the news is almost assuredly going to fall as long as the news remains relatively expensive to make well. the internet is certainly no refuge for those in search of a new journalistic spirit. flim-flam abounds and fact-checking? blogs belong to a single person or to a small collection, at best. what kind of oversight could their possibly be? we don't even edit this blog (though we should). and besides, blogs just recycle what the news media reports, anyway. the best they've come up with is interesting insights in the form of commentary. exegesis is great, and all, but it's nothing without the text to gloss.

i remember reading a report filed last year that cited evidence that 75% of figures in british media went unverified, and that advertisers used the british press association like a ventriloquist's dummy. this is is the perennial problem: the bottom line. people are going where the money is. in the united states, as with every other sort of public service, we've decided decided that provisioning money for a public media service is a sin. somehow, it leads to socialism, just like, you know, the bbc did for stalin's britain. since we can't contribute to something like that, what are our options? where do good journalists go when they aren't allowed to see white house records, they can't spend more than a few days abroad, there's no space for literary criticism except to flog bestsellers, and, to top it off, the public wouldn't know a punchy, intelligent piece if it, well, punched them in the wing-wang? i'm willing to believe that something can be done, and i'd even be interested in doing it. as is all to evident, i must concede, i don't know what that it could be.

4 comments:

  1. If the trend you describe is the real downwardly spiraling deal for the long-run, I don't see any hope except for nationalization. If relatively well-sourced and high-quality reporting (say what you will about the New York Times being a shit-rag; it, McClatchey, and a handful of other newspapers have been the only things keeping the U.S. on this side of democracy for the past 8 years) is currently being proven by the market to be a public good, then let's call it what it is. If it's Bougie of me to insist on the preservation of the printed daily (better to read over my cup of fair trade machiatto in the morning), then Bougie I am. The principal point is that, as you correctly pointed out, as much as bloggers bemoan the biases and corruptions of the "mainstream media," centralized, well-staffed and broadly distributed newspapers act as one of the only checks against the monopoly that the government/corporations/Rush Limbaugh/the Illuminati exert over the stock and flow of national information.
    On the other hand, as my mom (for 30 years a newspaper woman herself) has been saying for sometime, the crisis of newspapers may be a bit overblown. This, on the other hand, may be a crisis of inflated expectations. To quote one article,

    "Over the last 25 years, the average profit margin for corporate America has been 8.3 percent. But last year the 13 largest newspaper chains turned an average profit margin of 20 percent. The most profitable, such as McClatchy and Gannett, turned a profit margin of 30 percent; Knight-Ridder, 19 percent.

    By contrast, last year ExxonMobil -- whose record profits have drawn angry calls for a windfall-profits tax on the oil industry -- turned only a 10-percent profit margin.

    Yet even with these fat newspaper profit margins, newspaper stocks are tumbling. On average, newspaper-company share prices last year fell 20 percent. As a result, newspapers cut and cut; last year, another 1,500 full-time newsroom jobs vanished.

    Apparently, Wall Street investors think that newspapers will shrivel up and die in the age of the Internet, making them a poor investment. True, newspaper circulation continues to slip (in 2005, daily circulation was down 2.6 percent; Sunday, down 3.1 percent), and print ad-revenue growth is slow (in 2005, up about 1 percent). Nevertheless, by any standard, newspapers are still ridiculously profitable."

    On the other hand, shareholders will always prefer to cut costs by cutting quality first, so acknowledging the myth doesn't necessarily reverse the trend.

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  2. Appropriately enough, I forgot to include the link for that article I was referencing. Here you go: http://www.commondreams.org/views06/0322-28.htm
    And again, appropriately enough, I have no idea how credible it is.

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  3. As much as I share your distress over the decline of the New York Times and the general low spirits that pervade your post it was kind of funny that this

    "qualitative expectations of journalism have clearly fallen, as statistical evidence pointing to a near total end to fact-checking, and a subsequent rise in spurious reporting, confirms."

    didn't have a link or anything to back it up. I've heard the British media figure as well, but that's about it on the lack of fact-checking front.

    The other thing I've heard is that the classified section was a vital revenue source for newspapers - and now, thanks to Craigslist, that shit don't earn shit. What would your mom say to that, Ben? Can she do a guest post, as I am increasingly interested in the world of journalism myself?

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  4. the sentence that you quote was supposed to have been a link. my inattention left it in a quagmire of irony. i meant to direct your attention to http://corky.wgaeast.org/broadcast_news/736.html in which broadcast media in particular is discussed, but there is mention made of print sources in relation to qualitative declines.

    in any case, we should all be familiar with news organizations' gross oversights with regards received information. if anybody remembers the heydays of the bush presidency, and especially the gypsy show they put on for the public when selling the invasion of iraq, they should also recall numerical assertions (about the state of the iraqi army, about the number of 'weapons of mass destruction', about how much sweet, yukon yellow it took to make airforce one into goldfinger's jet) made by the administration which were readily and unquestioningly picked up and then blared into the ears of americans from every mountaintop and every klaxon station.

    did the new york times do a better job? probably, if insubstantially, it did. cnn and msnbc operate in a different format than print media, and so are subject to different expectations. still, the times is no bastion of liberal forthrightness, not with its target audience either in the center or leaning ever-more rightwards. the times reporters that i've met have all been absolute sacks of hake-on-white-bean-eating shit. one of them, however, did pass on the information that there was speculation within the times that if conditions weren't better soon, it would take drastic action. if other news media groups do well--and i think i mentioned in my post that some, like murdoch's news corporation, do, in fact, post serious results--the times is certainly unlike them. it has a negative net worth and hasn't posted a profit worth speaking about in a while. it lost money in 2008 and its 2007, a good year, net was only $200 million, out of total revenues of over $3 billion. you can make the news work, but i stick behind my initial statement that you can't expect to make any money if you wanna make it good.

    really, i'd like to see if any studies have been done which single-out individual newspapers for testing consistency. anybody know of some?

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